Vince Emmer
Valley Voices

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April 14, 2014
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Vail Daily column: Tax Day: to laugh or cry?

Happy Tax Day! If you have a big refund coming, celebrate. Relish it. Enjoy the pot-free high.

Sorry for the buzz-kill but: Do you know how much you paid in taxes last year?

Add state income taxes to your Form 1040 number, double the amount of Social Security and Medicare taxes shown on your W2. Economists know that you actually pay your employer’s half.

Add sales tax, property tax, insurance premium taxes, telephone taxes, fuel and tire taxes, and dog licenses. You pay all business taxes as well, through lower wages, higher prices and lower returns on your investments. It cannot be otherwise.

All told, government collected $38,000 per U.S. household last year. Match that up with a household making what it figures is $75,000 a year — a typical U.S. income for a married, four-member family. People who make more pay more in roughly lineal fashion. Those who make less, pay less.

On top of what it nabs from you, government borrows, too. Borrowing is just taxes you have to pay tomorrow. Unless you are lucky enough to die first.

The biggest chunk of public spending by far is senior subsidies. Each family under 65 pays $12,000 that goes straight to seniors — the have-lesses and have-mores both. It is a weighty 24 percent of all government spending.

Social Security is wonderfully successful in cutting elder poverty. Yet it could provide better pensions for poor retirees much more efficiently for two reasons. First, the program pays people who don’t need it. Second, if Social Security taxes were invested when collected, then the have-lesses and the have-mores would both have much more.

Program advocates say the reason Social Security benefits are paid to the have-mores is to buy voter support. Call it a bribe or a marketing expense. Both are accurate.

Medicare suffers from the same marketing costs, too, as well as a health care sector four times more expensive than the best managed health industry in the rich world. We can thank the unintended consequences of a World War II-era tax law for most of that damage.

Higher ed and K-12 together take another $5,800 per family per year in more taxes. That’s 10 percent more than defense. Aging business models in both higher ed and K-12 have taken heat primarily on the grounds that costs have risen rapidly and quality has not.

Defense is a taxpayer-funded pinata costing the typical family $5,200 per year. It is among the most technically competent of government agencies. Yet the DOD is so loosely run financially that it cannot pass an accounting audit that other agencies can.

Defense is a bit like anthropogenic global warming. In both cases, if the prophesied disaster is real, then the money might do some good. But if the danger is a mirage, then it is money down a rathole.

Defense and education bureaucracies have fascinating similarities, too. Both have high degrees of political sophistication. Both have economic special interest groups as life partners. Both wear nearly nuke-proof bureaucratic armor.

Smaller public programs are as prolific as pre-teen girls at a One Dimension concert. While all make some kind of contribution to the society that hosts them, taxpayers have seldom known if those benefits exceed their costs.

Surprisingly, over the past 85 years, government has grown its revenues more than four times faster than the business sector. Not so surprising, it is easier to raise money using coercion than it is when people have a choice.

Former Treasury Secretary Larry Summers’ phrase “the bureaucratic imperative” describes the libidinous drive to, one, protect budgets first, and, two, to expand them whenever possible.

Bureaucratic pride can make organizations slow to recognize failures and quick to resist reforms. Look up Judge Lamberth and the Indian Trust Fund for a museum-quality example of public sector boneheadedness.

Expecting public agencies to be neutral, third-party advisers about themselves or their work yields the same results as depending on TV’s Dealin’ Doug for advice about your need for a new car.

Fidel Castro reportedly advised Hugo Chavez to cloak his Bolivarian Revolution as a democracy presumably because people are easier to manage if they think they have a voice.

The U.S. is a long way from Venezuela politically, but even in Eagle County, an old lady will go to jail if she refuses to pay for some retiree’s Caribbean cruise bought with Social Security money, ice at the skating rink, or an extraneous pedestrian bridge she thinks is dumb.

No doubt about it, there’s an itsy-bitsy version of Jonah Goldberg’s smiley-face fascism chewing on your paycheck.

Government spending is running a stunning $45,000 annually per family. Public debts total an explosive $650,000 to $800,000 per household, depending what is included. The Congressional Budget Office shows that trajectory heading to the moon.

Young people are easier to burgle more than older people. Also note that there is not even a nominal “Taxpayer Protection Agency,” which, of course, would be impossibly compromised from the start.

Individually, public employees are wonderful, capable folks. Unfortunately, they are bundled in organizations that seem intently focused on the organization’s well being first, less so employees, still less on the general citizenry in prominent cases. Let us remember that they are only human.

We have a system that is extremely expensive and getting worse. It backloads cost when it can, putting a particularly painful pinch on young people.

Without major efficiency reforms, most experts, including Congress’ own budget office, forecast national bankruptcy. Many families will go bankrupt before then.

The spending is poorly coordinated. Agency interests go beyond the common good. Like dogs in a shelter, each agency barks for more.

It is up to us as taxpayers to manage the mess, and we do not have great tools. On paper, we citizens are supposed to be in charge. In the field, it is hard to confirm that.

Look at your income. Look at your taxes.

This tax day take a vow for yourself, your family, and young people everywhere: “The path through me shall never be the path of least resistance.”

Now put that refund someplace where it will do you some good.

Vince Emmer is a financial analyst in Gypsum. He may be reached at vince.emmer@mygovspending.com.


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The VailDaily Updated Apr 14, 2014 10:03PM Published Apr 14, 2014 08:18PM Copyright 2014 The VailDaily. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten or redistributed.