Financial Focus: Time is a key factor in investing, but timing the market is near impossible (column)
January 4, 2018
With the arrival of the New Year, many of us will pause and ponder the age-old question: "Who knows where the time goes?" Wherever the time goes, it will usually be a key factor in your success as an investor.
Time can affect how you invest, and the results of your investing, in different ways:
• Growth potential — Contrary to myth, there's no real way to "get rich quick" when investing. To build wealth, you need patience and time. If you own quality investments with growth potential, and you give them years — in fact, decades — to increase in value, then your perseverance may be rewarded. Of course, there are no guarantees, and you'll need the discipline to withstand the inevitable downturns along the way. But in describing how long he likes to keep his investments, renowned investor Warren Buffet says his favorite holding period is "forever."
• Targeted goals — To accumulate resources for retirement, you need to save and invest throughout your working life. But along the way, you'll probably also have some shorter-term goals, such as making a down payment on a home, sending your children to college, taking a round-the-world trip and so on. Each of these goals has a specific time limit and usually requires a specific amount of money, so you will need to choose the appropriate investments.
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• Risk tolerance — The element of time also will affect your tolerance for risk. When you have many decades to go until you retire, you can afford to take more risk with your investments because you have time to overcome periods of market volatility. But when you're on the verge of retirement, you may want to lower the risk level in your portfolio.
For example, you may want to begin moving away from some of your more aggressive, growth-oriented investments and move toward more income-producing vehicles that offer greater stability of principal. Keep in mind, though, that even during retirement, you'll need your portfolio to provide enough growth opportunity at least to help keep you ahead of inflation.
There's also an aspect of time that you may want to keep out of your investment strategies. Specifically, you might not want to try to "time" the market. The biggest problem with market timing is it's just too hard. You essentially have to be right twice, selling at a market top and buying at the bottom.
Also, as humans, we appear to be somewhat wired to think that an activity — especially a long-running activity — will simply continue. So, when the market goes up, we seem to expect it to keep rising, and when the market drops, we think it will continue dropping. This can lead to big mistakes, such as selling after a major market drop even though that can be the time when it may be much smarter to buy because prices are low.
As we've seen, the way you interact with time can affect your investment efforts. So, think carefully about how you can put all the days, months and years on your side. Time is the one asset you can't replenish, so use it wisely.
This article was written for use by local Edward Jones financial advisors. Edward Jones and its associates and financial advisors do not provide tax or legal advice. Chuck Smallwood, Kevin Brubeck, Tina DeWitt, Charlie Wick and Bret Hooper are financial advisors with Edward Jones Investments and can be reached in Edwards at 970-926-1728, in Eagle at 970-328-4959 or in Avon at 970-688-5420.