How do election years affect your investments?
Vail, CO, Colorado
As you are aware, 2008 is a presidential election year. As a citizen, you may well have a great deal of interest in the election. But how does an election year affect the investment climate? And ” from the perspective of an investor ” does it matter who wins?
To begin, let’s examine how the stock market reacted in the past to the selection of a president. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose in nine of the past 11 presidential election years, with an average gain of slightly more than 9 percent.
Does the election or re-election of a president make us more optimistic, leading us to invest more heavily and thereby drive up the markets? Probably not. In reality, many factors ” such as corporate profits, geopolitical concerns, interest rates and inflation ” drive stock prices.
Now, let’s turn to the next question: As an investor, how will the outcome of the election affect you? There’s not really a simple answer. In the past, the stock market has performed well ” and performed poorly ” under both Democrats and Republicans.
Candidates of both parties will have different priorities and will try to enact different economic agendas, and these priorities may have some impact ” although one that’s notoriously hard to predict ” on different market sectors. In short, no one can accurately forecast the effect of November’s election on the financial markets.
Instead of pondering the “what-ifs” involved in a presidential election, you’re much better off following some tried-and-true investment strategies.
Here are a few to consider:
Keep on investing. World events may be good or bad, and the stock market may be up or down ” but no matter what happens, the most successful investors stay in the market.
Look for quality investments and hold them until your needs change or the investments themselves undergo a transformation.
Know your risk tolerance. If you’re losing sleep at night over your investments, you’re probably taking on more risk than the amount with which you are comfortable. If your investments are putting you to sleep, they may be too conservative. Strive for a balance that fits your investment personality.
Think long-term. If you’re constantly adjusting your investment mix in response to short-term events, you’ll probably rack up big commissions and you almost certainly won’t make the necessary progress toward your important objectives, such as a comfortable retirement.
Train yourself to ignore daily or weekly or monthly price fluctuations and keep your eyes on the horizon. If you’ve chosen the right investments, they should help you work toward your goals in exchange for your patience.
In November, don’t forget to vote. But before and after Election Day, cast your ballot for solid investment techniques.
Charlie Wick, Tina DeWitt and Todd DeJong are financial advisers with Edward Jones Investments. They can be reached in Eagle at 328-4959, in Edwards at 926-1728 and in Avon at 845-1025.
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