Udall holds slim edge over Schaffer, poll shows
Rocky Mountain News
Vail, CO Colorado
DENVER, Colorado ” Soccer moms, Western Slope residents and younger voters hold the key to Mark Udall’s ability to win Colorado’s U.S. Senate race, according to a Rocky/CBS 4 News poll released today.
The Democratic congressman from Eldorado Springs holds a six-point lead over Republican Bob Schaffer, getting 44 percent of respondents’ support, as compared with 38 percent for the former congressman from Fort Collins. Independent candidate Buddy Moore garnered 5 percent of the vote, Green Party nominee Bob Kinsey took 2 percent and the rest of the respondents were undecided or refused to answer.
Udall’s lead comes largely from a 14-point advantage among women and a 15-point boost among the traditionally swing group of suburban women. Schaffer leads by three points – 42 percent to 39 percent – among men.
The Democrat also holds a large edge among younger voters, 47 percent to 29 percent. And he is tied with Schaffer on the Western Slope, a formerly Republican area that has begun to swing Democratic in recent elections.
Those results come at at time when many voters haven’t formed solid alliances with either candidate yet: 39 percent of respondents said they have no opinion of Schaffer and 29 percent said the same about Udall.
Also, voters appear frustrated with both candidates. Neither Schaffer nor Udall has as much as a 35 percent favorability rating, and 5 percent of respondents said they would vote for the largely unknown Moore, simply because he has the word “independent” in front of his name, pollster Lori Weigel said.
With so much room left to shape opinions, Weigel and pollster Craig Hughes said they expect both campaigns to flood the airwaves with ads that call candidates’ characters into question with undecided voters.
“I see nuclear winter coming in terms of the negativity of this campaign,” Weigel said.